Hours of Daylight

 

Background

 

There are many periodic phenomena in nature.  Among the most familiar, and important, are those related to the motion of planets, moons and other astronomical objects.  These include the phases of the moon, and seasonal variations in temperature and daylight.  In this project, you will model the changes in the hours of daylight in Jupiter, during the year 2001.

 

Data

 

The data in the table below was obtained from the U.S. Naval Observatory (aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs).  The table contains the predicted times of sunrise and sunset in Jupiter every two weeks (14 days) during the year 2001.  The times are Eastern Standard time, using a 24-hour clock (so 1800 is 6 p.m.).  The times are not adjusted for daylight savings, so the times in the summer are an hour earlier than you might expect.  Complete the table by filling in the total number of hours of daylight for each date (you will have to convert minutes to fractions of an hour).

 

Date

Sunrise

Sunset

Hours of Daylight

January 1

0710

1739

 

January 15

0711

1749

 

January 29

0707

1800

 

February 12

0659

1811

 

February 26

0647

1820

 

March 12

0633

1828

 

March 26

0618

1835

 

April 9

0602

1842

 

April 23

0549

1849

 

May 7

0537

1857

 

May 21

0530

1904

 

June 4

0526

1912

 

June 18

0526

1917

 

July 2

0530

1918

 

July 16

0537

1916

 

July 30

0544

1909

 

August 13

0551

1859

 

August 27

0558

1846

 

September 10

0604

1830

 

September 24

0610

1814

 

October 8

0616

1759

 

October 22

0624

1745

 

November 5

0633

1735

 

November 19

0643

1728

 

December 3

0654

1727

 

December 17

0703

1730

 

December 31

0709

1738

 

 

 

Questions

 

1.      Plot the hours of daylight (use weeks since January 1 as your independent variable).

2.      Does your graph look like a trigonometric function?  What kind of function?

3.      Estimate the period, amplitude, vertical shift and phase shift of a trigonometric function which fits the graph. 

4.      Graph your model on the same plot as the data points.  Does it appear to fit?  Adjust your parameters to get the best fit you can.

5.      Measure how well your model fits by computing r2.   How good is your model?

6.      Using your model, predict the hours of daylight on your birthday in 2005.  Go online to the U.S Naval Observatory, compute the table of sunrise and sunsets for 2005, and check your answer.  How good was your model's prediction?